Purdue vs Illinois 11/17/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Purdue winning 56% of simulations, and Illinois 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Purdue commits fewer turnovers in 49% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Illinois wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Akeem Shavers is averaging 56 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Donovonn Young is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL +7
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